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In Today's Newsletter:

  1. Round 3 recap
  2. Round Positive Equity Results
  3. Round 4 Pick of the Day
Tournament Analysis

Round 3 Recap 🚀

⛳ Si Woo Kim seized the lead at The American Express with a Saturday 66. This opened up a one shot lead over Scottie and Blades heading into the final round. The 2021 champion posted 6-under at La Quinta Country Club to reach 22-under for the tournament. Scheffler and Brown both shot 4-under 68s on the Stadium Course to sit tied at 21-under. The final round will be played exclusively on the Stadium Course, where Kim will look to capture his second American Express title.

The AmEx Round 3:

Pos
Player
Total
Today
Thru
1
Player 1 Si Woo Kim
-22
-6
F
T2
Player 2 Blades Brown
-21
-4
F
T2
Player 3 Scottie Scheffler
-21
-4
F

Tournament data updated: January 26, 2025 by UnderPar

Positive Equity Value Results - Through Round 3

Racking up more wins 💰

Saturday brought a 2-1 day with two winners at the Hero Dubai Desert Classic offsetting a loss at The American Express. While Adam Scott couldn't hold off Wyndham Clark's hot putter, Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen and Viktor Hovland both delivered in Dubai exactly as the data projected. Through three rounds, we're sitting at 13-4-2 (68.4% hit rate) with a +52% ROI. Not every bet hits, but when you're consistently finding genuine edges in the market, the long-term math works in your favor.

+$991
Total Profit (YTD)
13-4-2
Win-Loss-Tie Record
68.4%
Hit Rate
+52%
ROI

Round 3 Bets

The AmEx + Hero Dubai Desert Classic
January 22 - 25, 2026
+$92.00
2-1-0 Record
Rasmus Neergaard Petersen vs Thorbjorn Olesen
Hero Dubai Desert Classic | Round 3
✅ WON
+$102
Viktor Hovland vs Tyrrell Hatton
Hero Dubai Desert Classic | Round 3
✅ WON
+$90
Adam Scott vs Wyndham Clark
The AmEx | Round 3
❌ LOST
-$100

All plays tracked transparently. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. YTD results begin at The American Express (January 22, 2026). All data based on $100.00 initial bets per round matchup.

Data updated: January 25, 2026 by UnderPar Analytics

We're now sitting at +52% ROI through three rounds. The system is working because we're not chasing names, we're identifying mathematical edges where player probabilities don't match the implied odds. Check out our Round 4 pick below ⬇️

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