The American Express⛳

The PGA Tour heads to the California desert this week for The American Express in La Quinta. This is a birdie fest where low scores are the norm. In recent years, winning scores have consistently reached 20 under or better, with last year's champion Sepp Straka finishing at 25 under.

What makes this event unique is the three course rotation. Players tackle the Pete Dye Stadium Course, Nicklaus Tournament Course, and La Quinta Country Club over the first three rounds before a 54 hole cut. The final round plays exclusively on the Stadium Course. All three layouts measure between 7,000 and 7,200 yards, perfect scoring conditions are expected, and rough won't exceed 2 inches. Translation: hit greens, make putts, go low or go home.

For bettors, this week is all about finding players who can fire birdies in bunches. The three course format makes modeling tricky, but birdie average, approach play, and putting on easy setups separate the contenders. Our models have identified value in the matchup markets, including this week's featured pick below ⬇

Share with your network 🚀

Want Early Access to Our Positive Equity Platform?

We're looking for a few beta testers. Get 2 months free access to our arbitraged picks and increase your odds against the house.