Newsletter Logo

In Today's Newsletter:

  1. The Farmers Insurance Open Preview
  2. Pick of the Week & +EV List
  3. What is Positive Equity
  4. Sticking to a System
  5. UnderPar Launch
Tournament Preview

Farmers Insurance Open ⛳

The PGA Tour moves from the desert's birdie bonanza to one of its most demanding tests this week at Torrey Pines Golf Course in La Jolla, California. This is where soft conditions and easy scoring are replaced by coastal winds, thick rough, and a layout that punishes mistakes. Winning scores at the Farmers have stayed at 15 under or lower in 12 of the past 13 years, with defending champion Harris English claiming victory at 8 under in 2025.

What makes this event unique is the two-course format and then the grind on championship layout. The field splits between the municipal North Course and the iconic South Course for rounds one and two before a 36-hole cut. The weekend plays exclusively on the South Course, site of two U.S. Opens and ranked the fifth-most difficult layout on tour. The South course will play 7,700+ yards with narrow fairways, deep rough, and Poa annua greens that demand touch and precision.

For bettors, this week rewards ball-strikers who can manage difficult conditions and handle long irons into greens. Distance, accuracy off the tee, and elite approach play separate contenders from pretenders. Par is a good score on most holes. Our models have identified value in matchup markets where course history and all-around game matter most, including this week's featured pick below

Want Early Access to Our Positive Equity Platform?

We're looking for a few beta testers. Get 2 months free access to our arbitraged picks and increase your odds against the house.

Apply for Beta Access

Subscribe to keep reading

This content is free, but you must be subscribed to UnderPar to continue reading.

Already a subscriber?Sign in.Not now

Keep Reading